Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Results Oriented

  • Adam Laxalt will face off against Steve Sisolak for governor. [TNI]
  • Wes Duncan and Aaron Ford will battle to be successor to Laxalt as AG. [Nevada Appeal]
  • Steve Wolfson defeated Robert Langford to secure another term as Clark County District Attorney. [RJ]
  • Elissa Cadish and Jerome Tao will square off for a spot on the Supreme Court bench this fall. [RJ]
  • In Las Vegas Justice Court, Melissa De La Garza got more than 50% of the primary vote to be elected outright, while Elana Graham beat James Dean Leavitt, but will still have to face off against him this fall since Vinny Ginn took such a large portion of the vote. [RJ]
  • Here are the results from the Board of Governors election: 1 incumbent and 3 new governors were elected. 

54 comments:

  1. So the campaign to oust incumbent BOG was 75% successful? So its a wait and see game from here on out. No surprises in the Primaries. Something tells me that Laxalt is going to pull it off and win in November. Everything out there says Sisolak shoud win, but....

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'll go against conventional wisdom and argue that Chris G would have had a better shot against Laxalt. But be that as it may, this will likely be a 52/48 type of outcome and who is on top will depend entirely on who does the better job with turnout.

      Delete
    2. Exactly. I noticed dem voter turnout was higher but I suspect that is because most republicans knew Laxalt would win so it would be a waste of time to vote in the primaries.

      Delete
    3. I lean democrat, I have been perfectly fine with Sandoval (certainly had issues with him, but I've gotta admit he's like Teflon, and all my grievances kinda slide away), but I am so bummed about our options for governor. In my barely informed opinion, Laxalt is an incompetent right wing fanatic, elected only on his last name and uncle Sheldon's money, and will be horrible for the state. LET'S TAKE THAT BLM LAND BACK AND LOWER ALL TAXES AND WE WON'T BE ABLE TO FUND ANYTHING (PARTICULARLY THE BLM PROPERTY) AND LET'S GUT EDUCATION FUNDING FURTHER. Trump's emphatic endorsement says it all (his law firm performance reviews say something as well I suppose). Regardless - more money for Sheldon and make sure that Nevada makes it to 50th in all aspects of education.

      Having said that, Sisolak is like a cartoon/movie version of an evil politician. He's happy to give the Raiders several hundred million dollars, let Jim Rhodes desecrate some of the only naturally beauty land in Clark County, and let all the other developers start building all over the f-ing place (BUILD! BUILD! URBAN SPRAWL! I'M A DEMOCRAT BECAUSE I LIKE ABORTION) all while being a general asshole to his staff and constituents. I wish Kingmaker Reid would selected someone else. I fear we're doomed. There's my hot-takes on this hot day in billable and political hell.

      Delete
    4. @12:44 wins on this topic. Sisolak is a opportunist and a bully. He will be horrible for Nevada. Laxalt is a loon. Either way, we are doomed. I'm voting for Bernie.

      Delete
    5. You can vote for a Bundy. I will take Sisolak.

      Delete
    6. Good thing Governor is basically a ceremonial figurehead with no real power.

      Delete
    7. So are the 6 seats on the Supreme Court not occupied by Hardesty.

      Delete
    8. Governor Sandoval used his veto power something like 46 times on crazy bills passed by the 2017 legislature. The Governor has a lot of power and sets the agenda or stops the agenda.

      Delete
    9. 1:34 i'm voting for Bernie Sanders. Feel the Bern!

      Delete
    10. I'm voting for Laxalt for no other reason than as a check on our legislature.

      Delete
  2. Damn it, Langford should have won. I called Tao and Cadish.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I would like to know the actual vote totals for the BOG race. That Paola Armeni survived a change election is impressive.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Me too, but that would require transparency. It would be interesting to see though since, as someone noted yesterday, the four candidates who won were the first four on the ballot as listed in alphabetical order. Numbers would show whether people really just opened the ballots and voted for the first four or if the change candidates really made a difference. In other words, if Paola's name had been where Kari Stephens' or Ryan Work's name were, would she still have won?

      Delete
    2. I think she would have. I voted for change candidates and Paola because I know her and trust her.

      Delete
    3. I think you're probably right 11:05--out of all the candidates, Paola had the best name recognition in my opinion--followed by Terry Coffing.

      Delete
    4. So it was Paola and the first 3 non-incumbents? Honestly the vote just sounds fishy. Sure the ballots could really reveal that it was just the top 4 on the ballot or it could be that Kim Farmer is just so lazy that she anointed the top 4 so they did not have to really count.

      Sure this is tin foil hat stuff. But I have such little trust in the State Bar of Nevada that it is equally plausible to the assertion that just by coincidence the Top 4 happened to win. There is no way to ever really know; we are asked to just trust the same people who have earned exactly zero trust from us.

      Delete
    5. You trust Paola as a current BOG? Okay.

      Delete
    6. Paola had a lot of support from the female vote, the UNLV vote, and her colleagues in the criminal defense and p.i bars (NACJ) and NJA). So no surprises if you know that she garnered all those votes from those groups.

      Delete
    7. Why would others support hose her, sorry for the joke, when all these attorneys are getting screwed by her as a current BOG? Just asking.

      Delete
    8. The real difference in this election was the Boyd '13 vote.

      Delete
    9. How in the hell are you people saying the vote was rigged when only 1 of 4 incumbents won? Jesus I feel like I'm taking crazy pills.

      Delete
    10. No, those OBC pills.

      Delete
    11. 2:14: trust
      trəst/Submit
      noun
      1.
      firm belief in the reliability, truth, ability, or strength of someone or something.

      Delete
    12. 2.
      LAW
      confidence placed in a person by making that person the nominal owner of property to be held or used for the benefit of one or more others.

      Delete
    13. Bring back Stan - let's get rid of all solos!

      Delete
    14. We seriously need "like" buttons on some of these comments. Yay you guys.

      Delete
  4. the candidates list is gone from the nv bar website, but the bloggers had them listed https://lasvegaslawblog.blogspot.com/2018/05/procedurally-improper.html
    Paola Armeni (current Board member)
    Terry Coffing
    Andrew Craner
    Jessica Goodey
    John “Jack” Howard (current Board member)
    Casey Quinn
    Cory Santos, Sr.
    Jay Shafer
    Kari Stephens (current Board member)
    Ryan Works (current Board member)

    ReplyDelete
  5. Why don't Kim and BOG publish BOG vote tally?

    #russians

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm kind of surprised that Ryan Works was defeated. I'm not sure what he did or didn't do. Still, he's a decent person and and has been around for a while.

      I also agree that the Bar is wrong not publishing the actual number of votes. There should be clarity and transparency about the voting process, who counts votes, who certifies the election and the total number of votes.

      Delete
    2. I wanted him to win too, because he's so cute and precious. Every time I see him I want to pinch his cheek.

      Delete
    3. Perhaps a formal request to the SBN would generate the actual number of votes by candidate?

      Delete
  6. Cadish pulled 36% to Tao's 21%. I know the votes could be redistributed after knocking out 3 other candidates, but that's a pretty big margin.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Cadish spent beaucoup bucks and only got 36 per cent while Tao got 21 per cent doing next to nothing. If Tao runs a strong campaign for the general it could be an interesting race.

      Delete
    2. But Cadish is a self-proclaimed "mega superstar"

      Delete
    3. It's all anti-Cadish - never pro-Tao. I think they're both good judges but Cadish is better and she'll win even tho I fear the dude who lost his case in front of her will post on this blog relentlessly through November.

      Delete
    4. Yes, 12:46. I am sure you are correct. Only litigants don't like Cadish.

      Delete
    5. Heller does not like Cadish. The NRA does not like Cadish.

      Delete
    6. Cadish spent more money because she raised more money. She raised more money because she has more more support. More support generally = more votes. I don't see Tao all of the sudden out-fundraising Cadish in the general.

      Delete
    7. The primary was yesterday. Some donors were waiting to see how primary played out. I have not donated yet.

      Delete
    8. I sat through a three week capital trial with a difficult defendant and lots of evidentiary issues. She handled the people and the issues beautifully

      Delete
    9. Tao is more qualified for the Supreme Court than her. He is already an appeals court judge.

      Delete
    10. 1:07PM--Cadish has more support from the trial lawyers, the Democrats, and pressure groups like unions. She also has the female advantage and being first on the ballot with her name. Even in spite of all that support and blasting the air waves, she only got 36 per cent. She ran very poorly in rural counties and northern Nevada.

      Delete
    11. She got 36% in a race with 5 candidates. She only has maintain that number and to lock up another 14-16% of the remaining 64% of the votes to win. Tao has to grab 30% or more to win. That is a huge disadvantage to start at.

      Delete
    12. A lot of time left. I voted for J.Rutledge, but I am going for Tao.

      Delete
    13. Which does Hardesty support as between Tao and Cadish?

      Delete
    14. I suspect Tao

      Delete
    15. Where did the anti-Cadish crowd/person go?

      Delete
    16. I was going to say Cadish. Buddies at Inns of Court.

      Delete
    17. 36% to 20.5% doesn't seem like that big of a spread, but consider that Cadish only needs an additional 14% of the total vote (about 32% of the 43% who didn't vote for either Cadish or Tao) to crack 50%, while Tao has to grab an additional 30% of the total vote (about 70% of the remaining 43% who didn't vote for either) in order to win.

      There will obviously be more voters in the general, but that's a pretty tall order.

      Delete
  7. I'm happy about the Elana Graham result.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Me too. I was just hoping she would pull a couple extra points and be done yesterday instead of moving on to the general.

      Delete
  8. I think the Bar should give the exact results and vote totals in order to provide more transparency in the BOG race. It seems like it wants the reputation for lack of transparency. I understand the turnout was extremely low, perhaps due to the fact that it was sent in an email which apparently, many people received in their spam folders.

    ReplyDelete